Submitted by: Francis Soyer 4/8/11 06:55
As the government shutdown approaches notice what happens with precious metals and the dollar. As one economist put it, (Martin Armstrong) is an issue of the ECM (Economic Confidence Model). Not to be confused with consumer confidence or investor confidence which are two completely seperate issues. The ECM model is directly related to confidence in governmental systems. This is why precious metals will continue to rise and rise sharply over the next 18 months with little or no pullbacks of any consequence. By my own work it is not unreasonable to expect Silver at $300 and Gold at $3,000 to $5,000 3 being the low end and 5 upper.
The key issue being that world governments and their stability are directly linked to world central banking. World central banking and their continued monetary value dilution do nothing but erode the ECM model. It erodes that model in that the stimulus intended to spark growth simply gets absorbed into the banking system however never reaches the general economy in the form of loans to spark economic growth. I think very few economists of any salt would disagree that the system is broken and badly so.
Hence why precious metals and also commodities in general will continue to rise in dollar / eur / Yen etc. in that it takes more of them to have the same purchasing power as in the past because their value continues to fall as central banking prints more of them out of thin air. For more on this concept please visit Armstrong Economics at http://armstrongeconomics.com/
He just got out of prison so no posts as of recently but he did some brilliant work while serving time. :)
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